Journal articles


F.K.S. Lim, L.R. Carrasco, J. McHardy, D.P.  Edwards (in press) Perverse market outcomes from biodiversity conservation interventions. Conservation Letters.

T. Soliman, F.K.S. Lim, J. S. H. Lee, L.R. Carrasco (2016) Closing oil palm yield gaps among Indonesian smallholders through industry schemes, pruning, weeding and improved seeds. Royal Society Open Science.  Open Acces

J.H. Liew, L.R. Carrasco, H.H. Tan, D.C.J. Yeo (2016) Native richness and species level trophic traits predict establishment of alien freshwater fishes. Biological Invasions.  Abstract

B.L. Dickens, J. Yang, A.R. Cook, L.R. Carrasco (2016) Time to empower RIDL and Wolbachia against Zika. Open Forum Infectious Diseases.  Advance Access PDF

L.R. Carrasco, S.K. Papworth, J. Reed, W.S. Symes, A. Ickowitz, T. Clements, K.S-H. Peh, T. Sunderland (2016) Five challenges to reconcile agricultural land use and forest ecosystem services in Southeast Asia. Conservation Biology.

Beria, L., Carrasco, L.R. (in press) Auction winning, social dynamics and non-compliance in a payment for ecosystem services scheme in Indonesia. Land Use Policy.

Nghiem, T.P.L., Papworth, S. K., Lim, F. K., Carrasco, L. R. (2016). Analysis of the Capacity of Google Trends to Measure Interest in Conservation Topics and the Role of Online News. PLOS ONE, 11(3), e0152802.  Open Access

Larrosa, C., Carrasco, L.R., Milner-Gulland, E.J. (2016) Unintended feedbacks: challenges and opportunities for improving conservation effectiveness. Conservation Letters. DOI: 10.1111/conl.12240. Open Access

Chang, J., Symes, W.S., Lim, F.K., Carrasco, L.R. (2016) International trade causes large net economic losses in tropical countries via the destruction of ecosystem services. Ambio 1-11 doi: 10.1007/s13280-016-0768-7. Abstract  Preprint PDF

Nghiem, T.P.L., Carrasco, L. R. (2016) Mobile Applications to Link Sustainable Consumption with Impacts on the Environment and Biodiversity. BioScience doi: 10.1093/biosci/biw016  Abstract  Advance Access PDF

Soliman, T.A.A., Nghiem, T.P.L., Papworth, S.K., MacLeod, A., Mumford, J.D., Corlett, R.T., Tan, H.T.W., Carrasco, L.R. (2016) A regional decision support scheme for pest risk analysis in Southeast Asia. Risk Analysis. 36 (5) 904-913.  Abstract  PDF



Symes, W.S., Rao, M., Mascia, M.B., Carrasco, L.R. (2015) Why do we lose protected areas? Factors influencing protected area downgrading, downsizing and degazettment (PADDD) in the tropics and sub-tropics. Global Change Biology. 22 (2) 656-665.  Abstract  PDF

Lee, J.S.H., Jaafar, X., Tan, A.K.J., Carrasco, L.R., Ewing, J.J., Bickford, D.P., Webb, E.L., Koh, L.P. (2015) Towards clearer skies: challenges in regulating transboundary haze in Southeast Asia. Environmental Science and Policy. 55: 87-95.  Abstract  PDF

Win, M.K., Soliman, T.A., Lee, L.K., Wong, C.S., Chow, A., Ang, B., Carrasco, L.R., Leo, Y.S. (2015) Review of a two-year methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus screening program and cost-effectiveness analysis in Singapore. BMC Infectious Diseases. 15(1).  Abstract  PDF

Saw, L.E., Lim, F.K.S., and Carrasco, L.R. (2015) The Relationship between Natural Park Usage and Happiness Does Not Hold in a Tropical City-State.” PLOS ONE. 10 (7): e0133781.  Open Access

Brun, C., Cook, A.R., Lee, J.S.H., Wich, S.A., Koh, L.P., Carrasco, L.R. (2015) Analysis of deforestation and protected area effectiveness in Indonesia: A comparison of Bayesian spatial models. Global Environmental Change. 31: 285-295.  Abstract  PDF

Papworth, S.K., Nghiem, T.P.L., Chimalakonda, D., Posa, M.R.C.,Wijedasa, L.S., Bickford, D., Carrasco, L.R. (2015) Quantifying the role of online news in linking conservation research to Facebook and Twitter. Conservation Biology. 29 (3): 825–833.  Abstract  PDF


Carrasco, L.R., Larrosa, C., Milner-Gulland, E.J., Edwards, D.P. (2014) A double-edged sword for tropical forests. Science Full Text

Carrasco, L.R., Nghiem, T.P.L., Sunderland, T., Koh, L.P. (2014) Economic valuation of ecosystem services fails to capture biodiversity value of tropical forests. Biological Conservation. abstract pdf

Carrasco, L.R., Papworth, S.K., (2014) A ranking of net national contributions to climate change mitigation through tropical forest conservation. Journal of Environmental Management. abstract

Papworth, S.K., Kang, A., Rao, M., Chin, S. T., Zhao, H., Zhao, X., Carrasco, L.R. (2014), Bear-proof fences reduce livestock losses in the Tibetan Autonomous Region, China. Conservation Evidence. 11, 8-11. pdf

Carrasco, L.R., Leo, Y.S., Cook, A.R., Lee, V.J., Thein, T.L., Go, C.J., Lye, D.C. (2014) Predictive tools for severe dengue conforming to World Health Organization 2009 criteria. PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases. pdf

Chen, P.Z., Carrasco, L.R., Ng, P.K.L. (2014) Post-contest stridulation used exclusively as a victory display in mangrove crabs. Ethology. 120 (6), 532-539. abstract

Soh, Y.H., Carrasco, L.R., Miquelle, D.G., Jiang, J., Yang, J., Stokes, E.J., Tang, J., Kang, A., Liu, P., Rao, M. (2014) Spatial correlates of livestock depredation by Amur tigers in Hunchun, China: Relevance of prey density and implications for protected area management. Biological Conservation. 119, 117-127. abstract

Webb, E.L., van de Bult, M., Fa���aumu, S., Webb, R.C., Tualaulelei, A., Carrasco, L.R. (2014) Factors affecting tropical tree damage and survival after catastrophic wind disturbance. Biotropica. 46, 1, 32-41. abstract

Phelps, J., Carrasco, L.R., Webb, E.L. (2014) A framework to assess supply-side wildlife conservation. Conservation Biology. 28, 1, 244-257. abstract


Nghiem, T.P.L., Soliman, T., Yeo, D.C.J., Tan, H.T.W., Evans, T.A., Mumford, J.D., Keller, R.P., Baker, R.H.A., Corlett, R.T., Carrasco, L.R. (2013) Economic and Environmental Impacts of Harmful Non-Indigenous Species in Southeast Asia. PLOS ONE 8(8): e71255. journal full paper

Carrasco, L.R., Jit, M., Chen, M.I., Lee, V.J., Milne, G.J., Cook, A.R. (2013) Trends in parameterization, economics and host behaviour in influenza pandemic modelling: a review and reporting protocol. Emerging Themes in Epidemiology, 10(1), 3. abstract

Phelps, J., Carrasco, L.R., Webb, E.L., Koh, L.P., Pascual, U. (2013) Agricultural intensification escalates future conservation costs. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA, 110 (19), 7601-7606. abstract

Carrasco, L.R., Coker, R., Cook, A.R. (2013) Who should pay for global health, and how much? PLOS Medicine. 10(2): e1001392. doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1001392. pdf. full paper

Lee, L.K., Earnest, A., Carrasco, L.R., Thein, T.L., Gan, V.C., Lee, V.J., Lye, D.C., Leo, Y.S. (2013) Safety and cost savings of reducing adult dengue hospitalization in a tertiary care hospital. Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene. 107 (1): 37-42. doi:10.1093/trstmh/trs009. abstract.


Lee, V.J., Chow, A., Zheng, X., Carrasco, L.R., Cook, A.R., Lye, D.C., Leo, Y.S. (2012) Simple clinical and laboratory predictors of chikungunya versus dengue infections in adults. PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases. 6(9): e1786. doi:10.1371/journal.pntd.0001786.

Cook A.R., Carrasco, L.R., Lee, V.J., Ooi, E.E. Chen, M.I., Lye, D., Leo, Y.S. (2012) Higher risk of infection with dengue at the weekend among male Singaporeans. American Journal of Tropical Medicine & Hygiene. 87, 6, 1116-1118. 10.4269/ajtmh.2012.11-0648. abstract.

Samaan, G., Indriani, R., Carrasco, L.R., Lokuge, K., Cook, A.R., Kelly, P.M., Adjid, R. (2012) Prioritizing live bird markets at risk of avian influenza H5N1 virus contamination for intervention: A simple tool for low resource settings. Preventive Veterinary Medicine. 107, 3–4, 280–285. doi:10.1016/j.prevetmed.2012.05.017. abstract.

Carrasco, L.R., Cook, D.C., Mumford, J.D., MacLeod, A., Knight, J.D., Baker, R.H.A. (2012) Towards the integration of spread and economic impacts of biological invasions in a landscape of learning and imitating agents. Ecological Economics. 76, 95-103. doi:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2012.02.009. journal preprint pdf.

Souza Monteiro, D.M., Carrasco, L.R., Cook, A.J.C. and Moffitt, L.J. (2012) Robust surveillance of animal diseases: an application to the detection of bluetongue disease. Preventive Veterinary Medicine. 105, 17-24. doi:10.1016/j.prevetmed.2012.01.011. abstract.


Carrasco, L.R., Lee, L.K., Lee, V.J., Ooi, E.E. Shepard, D.S., Thein, T.L., Gan, V., Cook, A.R., Lye, D., Ng, L.C., Leo, Y.S. (2011) Economic impact of dengue illness and the cost-effectiveness of future vaccination programs in Singapore. PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases. 5(12): e1426. doi:10.1371/journal.pntd.0001426. journal print pdf.

Cook, D.C., Carrasco, L.R., Paini, D.R., Fraser, R.W. (2011). Estimating the social welfare effects of New Zealand apple imports. Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics. 55, 599-620. doi:10.1111/j.1467-8489.2011.00558.x. abstract.

Carrasco, L.R., Lee, V.J., Chen, M.I., Matchar, D.B., Thompson, J.P., Cook, A.R. (2011) Strategies for antiviral stockpiling for future influenza pandemics: a global epidemic-economic perspective. Journal of the Royal Society Interface. 8, 1307–1313. doi:10.1098/rsif.2010.0715. journal preprint pdf

Schaub, L., Furlan, L., Toth, M., Steinger, T., Carrasco, L.R., Toepfer, S. (2011) Efficiency of pheromone traps for monitoring Diabrotica virgifera virgifera LeConte. EPPO Bulletin. 41, 189–194. doi:10.1111/j.1365-2338.2011.02452.x. abstract.


Carrasco, L.R., Mumford, J.D., MacLeod, A., Harwood, T.D., Grabenweger, G., A.W. Leach, Knight, J.D., Baker, R.H.A. (2010) Unveiling human-assisted dispersal mechanisms in invasive alien insects: integration of spatial stochastic simulation and phenology models. Ecological Modelling. 221, 2068-2075. doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2010.05.012. journal preprint pdf.

Carrasco, L.R., Mumford, J.D., MacLeod, A., Knight, J.D., Baker, R.H.A. (2010) Comprehensive bioeconomic modelling of multiple harmful non-indigenous species. Ecological Economics. 69, 1303-1312. doi:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2010.02.001. journal preprint pdf.

Carrasco, L.R., Harwood, T.D., Toepfer, S., Levay, N., Kiss, J., Baker, R.H.A., MacLeod, A., Mumford, J.D., Knight, J.D. (2010) Dispersal kernel of the invasive alien Western Corn Rootworm and analysis of the effectiveness of focus and safety zones in eradication programmes in Europe. Annals of Applied Biology. 156, 63-77. doi:10.1111/j.1744-7348.2009.00363.x. journal preprint pdf.

Carrasco, L.R., Baker, R., MacLeod, A., Knight, J.D., Mumford, J.D. (2010) Optimal and robust control of invasive alien species spreading in homogeneous landscapes. Journal of the Royal Society Interface. 7, 529-540. doi:10.1098/rsif.2009.0266. journal preprint pdf.


Book chapters

Rao, M., Nagendra, H., Shahabuddin, G. & Carrasco, L.R. (2016) Integrating Community-Managed Areas into Protected Area Systems: The Promise of Synergies and the Reality of Trade-Offs. Protected Areas: Are They Safeguarding Biodiversity?, 169.

Mumford, J.D., Carrasco, L.R. (2014) Economics of Transgenic Insects for Field Release. In: Benedict, M. Q. (Ed.) Transgenic Insects: Techniques and Applications. C.A.B. International, UK.



Carrasco LR. 2013. Silver lining of Singapore’s haze. Science. 341 (6144), 342-343. pdf.

Nghiem TPL, Webb EL, Carrasco LR. 2012. Saving Vietnam’s Wildlife Through Social Media. Science 338: 192-193. pdf.